The US added 115,000 jobs in April, well above the 65,000 expected. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Healthcare led with +37k, transport/warehousing +30k, retail +22k, social assistance +17k. Federal government employment fell. Wage growth softer than expected at +0.2% MoM / +3.6% YoY.
The Headline Numbers
- Non-farm payrolls: +115,000 in April
- Consensus: 65,000 — beat by 50k
- Unemployment rate: 4.3% (held)
- Avg hourly earnings: +0.2% MoM, +3.6% YoY (consensus +0.3% MoM / +3.8% YoY)
Sector Breakdown
- Healthcare: +37,000 (leader)
- Transportation + warehousing: +30,000
- Retail: +22,000
- Social assistance: +17,000
- Federal government: declined
What The Print Tells Us
- Headline labour market is solid, steady, and stable
- Beats expectations — but the beat is more about low expectations than blowout strength
- Sector composition skews defensive (health, transport, retail) — not capex-cycle leadership
- Federal cuts continue per DOGE-era restructuring
Wage Read
- Softer-than-expected wage growth = doves win the next FOMC debate
- 3.6% YoY wage growth at 4.3% unemployment = labour-market slack present but not pressing
- Real wages still positive given inflation cooling
- Wage-Phillips-curve advocates lose another data point
The Tech-Layoff Counter-Narrative
- Tech alone drove 33,361 of April’s 83,387 announced cuts (Challenger)
- AI cited as leading reason for cuts — second consecutive month
- YTD tech cuts +33% vs 2025; non-tech cuts −50%
- Tech weakness hasn’t yet shown through in the BLS headline — sector divergence widens
Markets Read
- Stocks rallied: S&P +0.41%, Dow +0.37%, Nasdaq +0.66%
- Russell 2000 -1.63% — small-cap weakness on softer wage data
- Treasury yields stable; Fed cut path expectations firm
- Solid jobs print + softer wages = goldilocks read
What Comes Next
- FOMC June meeting positioning — odds of rate cut firmer
- JOLTS + ADP follow-ups for labour-market triangulation
- Q2 earnings season — does corporate guidance match the BLS print
- Watch BLS revisions to March + February prints
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